Холопцев О.В.

Interannual changes forecast maximum and minimum average wind speed in Kirovograd

Shown that the multiple regression model interannual changes of average monthlyspeed of wind in Kirovograd in february and august, with maximal robustness to temporary shifts in the future, allow for efficient prediction of the process of preemption, at least 8 years. Decrease of the average wind speeds in the mentioned months, that happened here in the previous thirty years, from 2011 to 2017., stops that would make it more favorable prospects in regigone wind

The irregularity of the daily rotation of the earth, as a factor of variability of the temperature regime of the northern hemisphere

Interannual changes of mean monthly temperature of water, brought to the Northern hemisphere Lands of South-Passatian currents of the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, are characterized by the increasing trends, while in december-march, in contrast to the other months. are significantly correlated between themselves, as well as with changes in the angular velocity of the daily rotation of our planet. It allows to assume, that the irregularity of the Earth's rotation can be one of the factors of modern variability of the temperature regime of the Northern hemisphere.

Relations Between Changes Of Average Values Of Total Ozone Over The Arctic With Temperatures Waters Carried By Currents That Form The Gulf Stream, At The Present Warming (ru)

Defined statistical relationships between annual changes in total ozone over the Arctic in February and May, and the change in the average surface temperature of the Caribbean and Atlantic waters in the area of North trade-wind currents, which in the period from 1979 to 2010 significantly increased and in the present material. Resistance to gain suggests that further warming, they will grow even more. This indicates the advisability of taking them into account in modeling and forecasting.

Analysis Of Contemporary Trends Spatiotemporal Variability Recurrence Thunderstorm Days In Ukraine (ru)

The features of the distribution of temporal variability of the trends of thunderstorm activity in May - Au-gust on various regions of Ukraine, which appeared during the period of the modern global warming. As a quan-titative measure of trends, we used the slope of the linear trend of the time series. Found that during this period over most regions of Ukraine thunderstorm activity has increased. This corresponds to the notions of the possible consequences of global warming, which leads to an increase in the total content of water vapor in the Earth's atmosphere and changes in cyclone activity over the regions of Ukraine.

The Change In Distribution Of Average Annual Surface Temperature Atlantic Ocean Under Modern Climate Warming (ru)

Surface temperatures of many waters in the Atlantic Ocean during the period of the modern warming rising steadily, driven by a reduction of its apvelings and increase the flow of heat delivered from the South Atlantic jet northern South Equatorial Current. In the period of 2002 - 2011 years. Atlantic warming has stopped. In subsequent years, the twenty-first century, probably reducing its surface temperature, which could lead to a cooling of the climate in Europe and North America.

Forecast of the Bblack sea level changes as a result of impact of solar activity in Yevpatoriya

Found a significant statistical relationship changes in the level surface of the Black Sea in the section on the history of Evpatoria variations in solar activity, ahead of the process at 180-200 years. Taking them into account a forecast of changes mean annual sea level rise in this item up to 2140, which shows that the process is cyclical in nature and is present in the spectrum of component with a period close to 100 years.

Statistical relations features between changes of Caribbean sea surface temperatures and solar activity

Paper deals with statistical relations between Caribbean sea surface temperature variations and solar ac-tivity. With the use of correlation analysis between time series of mean year temperatures changes, their anoma-lies index and Wolf numbers, hypothesis of the Caribbean Sea surface temperatures variations delay caused by solar activity changes was tested. It was found that the features of sub-Antarctic intermediate waters circulation of the Atlantic Ocean cause the presence of a significant statistical relations between Caribbean Sea average surface temperatures changes and solar activity variations, that are advancing them approximately on 200 years. Developed ultralong-range forecast of Caribbean Sea average surface temperatures changes show that until the middle of the XXI century downward trend will dominate, and further, to the end of it, – upward.

Especially the location of segments atmosphere where total ozone changing is connected with variations of the surface temperature in the gulf of Alasks of Pacific ocean

In features the location of the segments an atmosphere, which the interannual changes in CCA statistically significantly associated with the same time variations surface temperature of the Pacific Ocean Gulf of Alaska. The influence of seasonal factors. The adequacy of representations the impact on air exchange between troposphere and stratosphere and the planetary gravitational waves, that form over areas of interaction of jets with inhomogeneities of the atmospheric pressure field which are destroyed in tropopause and stratosphere.

Geographical location of Pacific ocean water area as a importance factor of their surface temperature changes influence on the ozone layer

There are the influence of geography of the Pacific Ocean on the significance of the statistical relationship of interannual variations of surface temperatures and changes in the distributions of total ozone in the Earth's atmosphere. The features of the seasonal variability of the location of its waters, providing state of the ozone layer on the most significant impact.

Tendencies of change of monthly mean values of surface temperatures of the Atlantic ocean in the beginning of XXI century

General regularities of location in the Atlantic ocean areas, where in the period 2000 - 2012, dominated steady tendencies of changes of mean monthly values of surface temperature, time of year does not depend. At the same time, their configurations and sizes in the change of seasons significantly changed. This indicates the importance of influence on the process, not only the factor of water of the Atlantic, the Arctic and the Antarctic, but also a factor of changes in the intensity of what is happening in its areas of upwelling. The location of the waters of the Atlantic ocean, where in this period there was a significant cooling, coin-cides with the position of his areas in which the interannual changes of surface temperatures significantly affect the state of the Arctic and North Atlantic oscillations. Above them are the main tropospheric jet stream. This suggests the possibility of a significant impact of the process-not only the greenhouse effect in the earth's atmos-phere, but also on the weather conditions change in many extratropical Northern hemisphere regions, as well as variations of the CCA over many of its regions, which took place in the same period.

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