апвеллинг

Surface temperatures of many waters in the Atlantic Ocean during the period of the modern warming rising steadily, driven by a reduction of its apvelings and increase the flow of heat delivered from the South Atlantic jet northern South Equatorial Current. In the period of 2002 - 2011 years. Atlantic warming has stopped. In subsequent years, the twenty-first century, probably reducing its surface temperature, which could lead to a cooling of the climate in Europe and North America.

Paper deals with statistical relations between Caribbean sea surface temperature variations and solar ac-tivity. With the use of correlation analysis between time series of mean year temperatures changes, their anoma-lies index and Wolf numbers, hypothesis of the Caribbean Sea surface temperatures variations delay caused by solar activity changes was tested. It was found that the features of sub-Antarctic intermediate waters circulation of the Atlantic Ocean cause the presence of a significant statistical relations between Caribbean Sea average surface temperatures changes and solar activity variations, that are advancing them approximately on 200 years. Developed ultralong-range forecast of Caribbean Sea average surface temperatures changes show that until the middle of the XXI century downward trend will dominate, and further, to the end of it, – upward.