Холопцев А. В.

Prognostication Of Dynamics Of Activity Of Sr-90 In Tashlykskom Water Cool Reservoir Of Yuzhnoukrainskoy AES

Functioning of Yuzhnoukrainskoy AES substantially influences on changes activity of Н-3 in waters of Tashlykskogo and Aleksandrovskogo of storage pools, although practically does not change in them the dynamics of maintenance of Cs-137, Co-60, Mg-54. In these reservoirs changeability of activity of Sr-90 the more than anymore middle volumes of their «blowing» out, that testifies to influence of changes of the mode of fall of atmospheric fallouts in a region, which strengthen the superficial flow of surrounding territory to Tashlykskomu to the storage pool.

Modern And Credible Tendencies Of Waters Thermal Mode Of Black Sea North-Western Part And Estuarine Areas Of The Rivers Which Fall In Him

The stream of O2 is determined by the thermal mode of superficial layer of shelfy area of sea and estuarine areas of the rivers which fall in him. The tendencies of interannual changes of these modes are in-process investigational on the example of North-western part of sea and estuarine areas of the rivers Danube, Dnepr and South Bug. The reliable tendencies of changeability of the noted descriptions are analysed during realization of one of possible scenarios of changes of climate in the Northern Atlantic region.

Design And Prognostication Of Interannual Changeability Of Average Monthly Values Of Wind Speed On Crimean Peninsula Territory

On an example Simferopol' it is rotined that account during authentication of models of modern dynamics of average monthly values of speed of wind on the basis of linear multiple regression, where as their arguments the temporal rows of global climatic indexes are used, allows to get results, possessing robastnost'yu to the temporal changes in the future on 1 and 2 years, what allows them to use for prognostication of the indicated process.

Estimation Of Prognostication Possibilities Of Interannual Dynamics Of Repetition Of Thunderstorms On Example Of City Of Kiev

Changes repetition of thunderstorms in summer months above a city Kiev can be described with high exactness by the method of linear multiple regression. The identified models possess robastnost to the temporal changes in the future on 22 years and that is why can be used for prognostication of further dynamics of this process to 1930 year.

Interannual changes forecast maximum and minimum average wind speed in Kirovograd

Shown that the multiple regression model interannual changes of average monthlyspeed of wind in Kirovograd in february and august, with maximal robustness to temporary shifts in the future, allow for efficient prediction of the process of preemption, at least 8 years. Decrease of the average wind speeds in the mentioned months, that happened here in the previous thirty years, from 2011 to 2017., stops that would make it more favorable prospects in regigone wind

Response characteristics of distribution of total ozone in the earth's atmosphere to change the surface temperature of the central equatorial sector Pacific

Based on current understanding of the factors spatial and temporal variability of total ozone in the Earth's atmos-phere, it seems likely that the cause of the high correlation of areas located in the eastern hemisphere (above the Indian Ocean and Africa Coy) may be the link between changes in surface temperatures in the eastern different sectors-tropical zones of the Pacific and Atlantic oceans.

Relations Between Changes Of Average Values Of Total Ozone Over The Arctic With Temperatures Waters Carried By Currents That Form The Gulf Stream, At The Present Warming (ru)

Defined statistical relationships between annual changes in total ozone over the Arctic in February and May, and the change in the average surface temperature of the Caribbean and Atlantic waters in the area of North trade-wind currents, which in the period from 1979 to 2010 significantly increased and in the present material. Resistance to gain suggests that further warming, they will grow even more. This indicates the advisability of taking them into account in modeling and forecasting.

Analysis Of Contemporary Trends Spatiotemporal Variability Recurrence Thunderstorm Days In Ukraine (ru)

The features of the distribution of temporal variability of the trends of thunderstorm activity in May - Au-gust on various regions of Ukraine, which appeared during the period of the modern global warming. As a quan-titative measure of trends, we used the slope of the linear trend of the time series. Found that during this period over most regions of Ukraine thunderstorm activity has increased. This corresponds to the notions of the possible consequences of global warming, which leads to an increase in the total content of water vapor in the Earth's atmosphere and changes in cyclone activity over the regions of Ukraine.

The Change In Distribution Of Average Annual Surface Temperature Atlantic Ocean Under Modern Climate Warming (ru)

Surface temperatures of many waters in the Atlantic Ocean during the period of the modern warming rising steadily, driven by a reduction of its apvelings and increase the flow of heat delivered from the South Atlantic jet northern South Equatorial Current. In the period of 2002 - 2011 years. Atlantic warming has stopped. In subsequent years, the twenty-first century, probably reducing its surface temperature, which could lead to a cooling of the climate in Europe and North America.

Forecast of the Bblack sea level changes as a result of impact of solar activity in Yevpatoriya

Found a significant statistical relationship changes in the level surface of the Black Sea in the section on the history of Evpatoria variations in solar activity, ahead of the process at 180-200 years. Taking them into account a forecast of changes mean annual sea level rise in this item up to 2140, which shows that the process is cyclical in nature and is present in the spectrum of component with a period close to 100 years.

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